2012 Update

MSN - Poll shows Romney beating Obama

"Eighty-nine percent of Americans say the economy is in bad shape; 57 percent say the recovery has not started and 66 percent said the United States was seriously on the wrong track.

Forty-five percent said they trust congressional Republicans over Obama to handle the economy, up 11 points since March.
The poll shows Obama leading five out of six potential Republican presidential rivals but in a dead heat with former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.
Among all Americans, Obama and Romney are tied at 47 percent each. Among registered voters, Romney is ahead 49 percent to 46 percent."

Most people believe that it's still too early to make something out of these polls. True. However, I'm sure to the two candidates one is worried while the other gains confidence, even despite the volatility of the polls. There is one condition that if true now, and remains so in October and November next year, Romney, or someone other than Obama will win, and that is the state of the economy. If the economy rebounds between now and the middle of next year then Obama may regain his edge. But if it continues to decline, then Obama may very well start counting his days in the White House. This fact is not lost to Obama and may be the very reason his top economic adviser will resign/quit in the next few weeks.

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